#762: 2020 Oscar Picks with Michael Phillips

January 31, 2020 / Scott Tobias

Best Picture

Adam

Will win: 1917

Should win: PARASITE

Stupid omission: PORTRAIT OF A LADY ON FIRE

Michael

Will win: 1917

Should win: PARASITE

Stupid omission: THE FAREWELL

Josh

Will win: PARASITE

Should win: PARASITE

Stupid omission: US

Best Director

Adam

Will win: Bong Joon Ho, PARASITE

Should win: Bong Joon Ho, PARASITE

Stupid omission: Greta Gerwig, LITTLE WOMEN

Josh

Will win: Sam Mendes, 1917

Should win: Bong Joon Ho, PARASITE

Stupid omission: Jordan Peele, US

Michael

Will win: Sam Mendes, 1917

Should win: Bong Joon Ho, PARASITE

Stupid omission: Noah Baumbach, MARRIAGE STORY

Best Actress

Adam / Josh

Will win: Renée Zellweger, JUDY

Should win: Scarlett Johansson, MARRIAGE STORY

Stupid omission: Lupita Nyong’o, US

Michael

Will win: Renée Zellweger, JUDY

Should win: Saoirse Ronan, LITTLE WOMEN

Stupid omission: Lupita Nyong’o, US

Best Actor

AdaM / JOsh / Michael

Will win: Joaquin Phoenix, JOKER

Should win: Adam Driver, MARRIAGE STORY

Stupid omission: Adam Sandler, UNCUT GEMS

Best Supporting Actress

Adam

Will win: Laura Dern, MARRIAGE STORY

Should win: Florence Pugh, LITTLE WOMEN

Stupid omission: Zhao Shuzhen, THE FAREWELL

Michael

Will win: Laura Dern, MARRIAGE STORY

Should win: Laura Dern, MARRIAGE STORY

Stupid omission: Zhao Shuzhen, THE FAREWELL

Josh

Will win: Florence Pugh, LITTLE WOMEN

Should win: Florence Pugh, LITTLE WOMEN

Stupid omission: Juliette Binoche, HIGH LIFE

Best Supporting Actor

Josh / Michael

Will win: Brad Pitt, ONCE UPON A TIME… IN HOLLYWOOD

Should win: Joe Pesci, THE IRISHMAN

Stupid omission: Song Kang-ho, PARASITE

Adam

Will win: Brad Pitt, ONCE UPON A TIME... IN HOLLYWOOD

Should win: Brad Pitt, ONCE UPON A TIME... IN HOLLYWOOD

Stupid omission: Song Kang-ho, PARASITE

Best Original Screenplay

Josh / Michael

Will win: Quentin Tarantino, ONCE UPON A TIME… IN HOLLYWOOD

Should win: Bong Joon Ho & Han Jin Won, PARASITE

Stupid omission: Jordan Peele, US

Adam

Will win: Quentin Tarantino, ONCE UPON A TIME... IN HOLLYWOOD

Should win: Bong Joon Ho & Han Jin Won, PARASITE

Stupid omission: Lulu Wang, THE FAREWELL

Best Adapted Screenplay

Adam

Will win: Greta Gerwig, LITTLE WOMEN

Should win: Greta Gerwig, LITTLE WOMEN

Stupid omission: Joel Edgerton & David Michôd, THE KING

Michael

Will win: Greta Gerwig, LITTLE WOMEN

Should win: Greta Gerwig, LITTLE WOMEN

Josh

Will win: Greta Gerwig, LITTLE WOMEN

Should win: Greta Gerwig, LITTLE WOMEN

Stupid omission: Christian Petzold, TRANSIT

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categories / 2020
tags / oscars, michael phillips

#761: 2020 Movie Preview - Top 5 Questions

January 24, 2020 / Scott Tobias

ADAM

Which sequel, 30 years in the making, will most make me feel like a kid again – GHOSTBUSTERS: AFTERLIFE or TOP GUN: MAVERICK?
Will DICK JOHNSON IS DEAD be my favorite movie of 2020 or of all-time?
After “Marriage Story,” “The Irishman” and “The King,” what will be the cream of Netflix’s crop this year? (MANK, DA 5 BLOODS, I’M THINKING OF ENDING THINGS)
How will Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross “darken up” Pixar’s SOUL?
If a movie year doesn’t include dollops of [Adam] Driver (ANNETTE, THE LAST DUEL) and plenty of [Florence] Pugh (BLACK WIDOW), did it really happen?

Honorable Mention

Will Marvel’s artsy director choices pay off… for cinephiles (THE ETERNALS, BLACK WIDOW)?
Can Denis Villeneuve solve DUNE?
How good will Kristin Wiig be as a villain (WONDER WOMAN 1984)?
Does Ansel Elgort have the musical chops and charisma to play Tony in WEST SIDE STORY?

JOSH

Michael Stuhlbarg and Elisabeth Moss in “Shirley.”

Will DUNE bury Denis Villeneuve?
Will Elisabeth Moss be even more dominant in the 2020s than she was in the 2010s? (THE INVISIBLE MAN, THE FRENCH DISPATCH, SHIRLEY)
Will DICK JOHNSON IS DEAD be as moving as “Our Time Machine”?
Will I have the courage to watch “Candyman” (1992) in preparation for CANDYMAN?
With AFTER YANG, will Kogonada be the latest Golden Brick winner to go on and achieve even greater things?

Honorable Mention

Will there be a reason for Steven Spielberg’s WEST SIDE STORY after John Chu’s IN THE HEIGHTS?
Can James Bond be saved by Ana De Armas, Lashana Lynch and Phoebe Waller-Bridge in NO TIME TO DIE?

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categories / 2020

#760: Best Scenes of 2019

January 15, 2020 / Scott Tobias

Opening Scene

Adam

1. THE LAST BLACK MAN IN SAN FRANCISCO - "This is our home"

2. MARRIAGE STORY - "What I love about Nicole"

3. UNCUT GEMS - From Africa to colonoscopy

4. JOJO RABBIT - Hitlermania

5. AD ASTRA - Antenna disaster

Honorable Mention: US - Hall of mirrors; THE IRISHMAN, HIGH FLYING BIRD

Josh

1. THE LIGHTHOUSE

Honorable Mention:

US - Hall of mirrors

JOJO RABBIT - Hitlermania

QUEEN & SLIM - First date

Funniest Moment

Adam

1. MARRIAGE STORY - Serving Charlie

2. PARASITE - Making Ram-don / Kick

3. THE DEAD DON’T DIE - “Was it a wild animal?”

4. THE ART OF SELF-DEFENSE - Buying a gun

5. LONG SHOT - “Like a stepmom on Pornhub.”

Honorable Mention: FORD V FERRARI - Taking “The Deuce” for a ride

Josh

1. BOOKSMART - Hair masks

Honorable Mention:

PARASITE - Making Ram-don / Kick

MARRIAGE STORY - Serving Charlie

Moving Moment

Adam

1. A BEAUTIFUL DAY IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD - Late-night drink with dad

2. MARRIAGE STORY - Charlie and Henry read Nicole’s letter

3. AD ASTRA - “We’re all we’ve got”

4. JOJO RABBIT - “You want your father”

5. TRANSIT - Dripping ice cream cone

Honorable Mention: THE RISE OF SKYWALKER - Wiping C3PO's memory; A HIDDEN LIFE - Franz's kiss(es); LITTLE WOMEN - Jo and Beth on the beach / Beth and Mr. Laurence / Jo's book

Josh

1. PORTRAIT OF A LADY ON FIRE - Listening to Vivaldi

Honorable Mention:

THE FAREWELL - Grandson breaking down at his wedding

OUR TIME MACHINE - Father forgetting his son's play

TOY STORY 4 - "Carry me?"

A BEAUTIFUL DAY IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD - Minute of silence

JOJO RABBIT - “You want your father”

Music Moment

Adam

1. HER SMELL - “Heaven”

2. MARRIAGE STORY - “Being Alive”

3. BOOKSMART - “Slip Away” / Pool scene

4. WILD ROSE - “I’m Moving On'“ / Vacuuming

5. PORTRAIT OF A LADY ON FIRE - Bonfire

Honorable Mention: APOLLO 11 - “Mother Country”; ROLLING THUNDER REVUE - “Lonesome Death of Hattie Carroll”; HUSTLERS - “Criminal”; ROCKETMAN - “Crocodile Rock”

Josh

1. DIANE - Dancing alone at the jukebox

Honorable Mention:

ONCE UPON A TIME IN HOLLYWOOD - Cliff driving across L.A. with the car radio on

PORTRAIT OF A LADY ON FIRE - Bonfire

THE LAST BLACK MAN IN SAN FRANCISCO - “San Francisco (Be Sure to Wear Flowers in Your Hair)”

Scene of the Year

Adam

1. PARASITE - Descending home during flood

2. MARRIAGE STORY - The Argument

3. KNIVES OUT - My House, My Rules, My Coffee

4. LITTLE WOMEN - “But I’m so lonely!”

5. THE LAST BLACK MAN IN SAN FRANCISCO - Directing on the street

Honorable Mentions: APOLLO 11 - “Carry with them a great many things”; THE IRISHMAN - “It is what it is” / Phone call to Jo; ONCE UPON A TIME IN HOLLYWOOD - Sharon watches herself / Rick's acting redemption / L.A.'s neon lights flicker on

Josh

1. JOKER - Staircase dance

Honorable Mention:

CAPTAIN MARVEL - Captain Marvel comes into her own powers

US - Scissors ballet

THE DEAD DON’T DIE - Ending bathed in red, white and blue

A HIDDEN LIFE - Motorcycle ride

PORTRAIT OF A LADY ON FIRE - Rushing to the cliff

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categories / 2019

#758-759: Top 10 Films of 2019

December 26, 2019 / Scott Tobias

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ADAM

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1. Parasite

2. Little Women

3. Marriage Story

4. The Irishman

5. Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood

6. Ad Astra

7. Her Smell

8. Portrait of a Lady on Fire

9. Uncut Gems

10. Knives Out

Adam’s Top 30 on Letterboxd

JOSH

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1. Us

2. Portrait of a Lady on Fire

3. Parasite

4. The Irishman

5. A Hidden Life

6. Pain and Glory

7. Jojo Rabbit

8. The Souvenir

9. Knives Out

10. High Life

Josh’s Top 30 on Letterboxd

TASHA ROBINSON

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1. Parasite

2. The Farewell

3. A Hidden Life

4. The Nightingale

5. Honey Boy

6. Hail, Satan?

7. The Last Black Man in San Francisco

8. I Lost My Body

9. Wild Rose

10. Knives Out

MICHAEL PHILLIPS

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1. Parasite

2. Marriage Story

3. Ash Is Purest White

4. Portrait of a Lady on Fire

5. The Irishman

6. One Child Nation

7. Waves

8. Present. Perfect.

9. The Last Black Man in San Francisco

10. Little Women

Summary

Films that made 2 lists: Little Women, Marriage Story, A Hidden Life, The Last Black Man in San Francisco
Films that made 3 lists: The Irishman, Portrait of a Lady on Fire, Knives Out
Film that made all 4 lists: Parasite