#1056: '26 Oscars Predictions
Who will win, Who should win, and Who should have been nominated.
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#1003: 2025 Oscar Special
Best Picture
Adam
Will win: ANORA
Should win: THE BRUTALIST
Should have been nominated: ALL WE IMAGINE AS LIGHT
Should be kicked out: WICKED
michael
Will win: ANORA
Should win: NICKEL BOYS
Should have been nominated: ALL WE IMAGINE AS LIGHT
Should be kicked out: THE SUBSTANCE
Josh
Will win: ANORA
Should win: ANORA
Should have been nominated: CHALLENGERS
Should be kicked out: EMILIA PÉREZ
Best Director
Adam
Will win: Brady Corbet, THE BRUTALIST
Should win: Brady Corbet, THE BRUTALIST
Should have been nominated: Payal Kapadia, ALL WE IMAGINE AS LIGHT
Should be kicked out: James Mangold, A COMPLETE UNKNOWN
michael
Will win: Sean Baker, ANORA
Should win: Brady Corbet, THE BRUTALIST
Should have been nominated: RaMell Ross, NICKEL BOYS
Should be kicked out: Jaques Audiard, EMILIA PÉREZ
Josh
Will win: Sean Baker, ANORA
Should win: Sean Baker, ANORA
Should have been nominated: George Miller, FURIOSA: A MAD MAX SAGA
Should be kicked out: Jaques Audiard, EMILIA PÉREZ
Best Actress
Adam
Will win: Demi Moore, THE SUBSTANCE
Should win: Mikey Madison, ANORA
Should have been nominated: Ilinca Manolache, DO NOT EXPECT TOO MUCH FROM THE END OF THE WORLD
Should be kicked out: Cynthia Erivo, WICKED
michael
Will win: Demi Moore, THE SUBSTANCE
Should win: Fernanda Torres, I’M STILL HERE
Should have been nominated: Ilinca Manolache, DO NOT EXPECT TOO MUCH FROM THE END OF THE WORLD
Should be kicked out: Demi Moore, THE SUBSTANCE
JOSH
Will win: Demi Moore, THE SUBSTANCE
Should win: Cynthia Erivo, WICKED
Should have been nominated: Kirsten Dunst, CIVIL WAR
Should be kicked out: Karla Sofia Gascon, EMILIA PÉREZ
Best Actor
ADAM
Will win: Adrien Brody, THE BRUTALIST
Should win: Colman Domingo, SING SING
Should have been nominated: Glen Powell, HIT MAN
Should be kicked out: Sebastian Stan, THE APPRENTICE
Michael
Will win: Timothée Chalamet, A COMPLETE UNKNOWN
Should win: Ralph Fiennes, CONCLAVE
Should have been nominated: Adrien Brody, THE BRUTALIST
Should be kicked out: Sebastian Stan, A DIFFERENT MAN
JOSH
Will win: Ralph Fiennes, CONCLAVE
Should win: Ralph Fiennes, CONCLAVE
Should have been nominated: Aaron Pierre, REBEL RIDGE
Should be kicked out: Timothee Chalamet, A COMPLETE UNKNOWN
Best Supporting Actress
Adam
Will win: Zoe Saldaña, EMILIA PÉREZ
Should win: Zoe Saldaña, EMILIA PÉREZ
Should have been nominated: Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor, NICKEL BOYS
Should be kicked out: Ariana Grande, WICKED
Michael
Will win: Zoe Saldaña, EMILIA PÉREZ
Should win: Isabella Rossellini, CONCLAVE
Should have been nominated: Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor, NICKEL BOYS
Should be kicked out: Ariana Grande, WICKED
Josh
Will win: Felicity Jones, THE BRUTALIST
Should win: Ariana Grande, WICKED
Should have been nominated: Danielle Deadwyler, THE PIANO TEACHER
Should be kicked out: Isabella Rossellini, CONCLAVE
Best Supporting Actor
Josh
Will win: Kieran Culkin, A REAL PAIN
Should win: Yura Borisov, ANORA
Should have been nominated: Clarence Maclin, SING SING
Should be kicked out: Edward Norton, A COMPLETE UNKNOWN
Adam
Will win: Kieran Culkin, A REAL PAIN
Should win: Yura Borisov, ANORA
Should have been nominated: Clarence Maclin, SING SING
michael
Will win: Kieran Culkin, A REAL PAIN
Should win: Yura Borisov, ANORA
Should have been nominated: Clarence Maclin, SING SING
Should be kicked out: Guy Pearce, THE BRUTALIST
Should be kicked out: Guy Pearce, THE BRUTALIST
#957: 2024 Oscar Picks
Best Picture
Adam
Will win: OPPENHEIMER
Should win: OPPENHEIMER
Should have been nominated: MAY DECEMBER
Replace: MAESTRO
Josh
Will win: OPPENHEIMER
Should win: ANATOMY OF A FALL
Should have been nominated: THE BOY AND THE HERON
Replace: MAESTRO
Best Director
Adam
Will win: Christopher Nolan, OPPENHEIMER
Should win: Christopher Nolan, OPPENHEIMER
Should’ve been nominated: The Academy got it right.
Josh
Will win: Christopher Nolan, OPPENHEIMER
Should win: Justine Triet, ANATOMY OF A FALL
Should have been nominated: Wes Anderson, ASTEROID CITY
Replace: Yorgos Lanthimos, POOR THINGS
Best Actress
Adam
Will win: Emma Stone, POOR THINGS
Should win: Sandra Hüller, ANATOMY OF A FALL
Should have been nominated: Natalie Portman, MAY DECEMBER
Replace: MAESTRO
Josh
Will win: Anette Bening, NYAD
Should win: Sandra Hüller, ANATOMY OF A FALL
Should have been nominated: Julia Louis-Dreyfuss, YOU HURTY MY FEELINGS
Replace: Annette Bening, NYAD
Best Actor
Adam
Will win: Paul Giamatti, THE HOLDOVERS
Should win: Cillian Murphy, OPPENHEIMER
Should’ve been nominated: Andrew Scott, ALL OF US STRANGERS
Replace: Bradley Cooper, MAESTRO
Josh
Will win: Paul Giamatti, THE HOLDOVERS
Should win: Cillian Murphy, OPPENHEIMER
Should have been nominated: Teo Yoo, PAST LIVES
Replace: Bradley Cooper, MAESTRO
Best Supporting Actress
Adam
Will win: Da’Vine Joy Randolph, THE HOLDOVERS
Should win: Da’Vine Joy Randolph, THE HOLDOVERS
Should’ve been nominated: Rachel McAdams, ARE YOU THERE, GOD? IT’S ME, MARGARET
Replace: America Ferrera, BARBIE
Josh
Will win: Da’Vine Joy Randolph, THE HOLDOVERS
Should win: Da’Vine Joy Randolph, THE HOLDOVERS
Should have been nominated: Julianne Moore, MAY DECEMBER
Replace: Jodie Foster, NYAD
Best Supporting Actor
Josh
Will win: Robert Downey Jr., OPPENHEIMER
Should win: Ryan Gosling, BARBIE
Should’ve been nominated: Charles Melton, MAY DECEMBER
Replace: Robert De Niro, KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON
Adam
Will win: Robert Downey Jr., OPPENHEIMER
Should win: Ryan Gosling, BARBIE
Should’ve been nominated: The Academy got it right.
#910: '23 Oscars Special w/ Michael Phillips
Who will win, who should win - and who should have been nominated.
Read More#865: Oscars Special 2022
Best Picture
Adam
Will win: The Power of the Dog
Should win: The Power of the Dog
Should have been nominated: The Worst Person in the World
Take out: Belfast
Josh
Will win: Belfast
Should win: The Power of the Dog
Should have been nominated: Identifying Features
Take out: Don’t Look Up
Best Director
Adam
Will win: Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
Should win: Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
Egregious omission: Joachim Trier, The Worst Person in the World
Take out: Kenneth Branagh, Belfast
Josh
Will win: Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
Should win: Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
Egregious omission: Wes Anderson, The French Dispatch
Take out: Kenneth Branagh, Belfast
Best Actress
Adam
Will win: Jessica Chastain, The Eyes of Tammy Faye
Should win: Olivia Coleman, The Lost Daughter
Egregious omission: Renate Reinsve, The Worst Person in the World
Take out: Kristen Stewart, Spencer
Josh
Will win: Jessica Chastain, The Eyes of Tammy Faye
Should win: Olivia Coleman, The Lost Daughter
Egregious omission: Taylour Paige, Zola
Take out: Kristen Stewart, Spencer
Best Actor
Adam
Will win: Will Smith, King Richard
Should win: Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog
Egregious omission: Nicolas Cage, Pig
Take out: Javier Bardem, Being the Ricardos
Josh
Will win: Will Smith, King Richard
Should win: Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog
Egregious omission: Simon Rex, Red Rocket
Take out: Andrew Garfield, tick, tick…BOOM!
Best Supporting Actress
Adam
Will win: Ariana DeBose, West Side Story
Should win: Ariana DeBose, West Side Story
Egregious omission: Ruth Negga, Passing
Take out: Judi Dench, Belfast
Josh
Will win: Ariana DeBose, West Side Story
Should win: Ariana DeBose, West Side Story
Egregious omission: Ruth Negga, Passing
Take out: Judi Dench, Belfast
Best Supporting Actor
Josh
Will win: Troy Kotsur, CODA
Should win: Kodi Smith-McPhee, The Power of the Dog
Egregious omission: Jeffrey Wright, The French Dispatch
Take out: Ciarán Hinds, Belfast
Adam
Will win: Troy Kotsur, CODA
Should win: Kodi Smith-McPhee, The Power of the Dog
Egregious omission: Jeffrey Wright, The French Dispatch
Take out: Ciarán Hinds, Belfast
#822: Oscars Special with Michael Phillips
Best Picture
Adam
Will win: Nomadland
Should win: Sound of Metal
Should have been nominated: First Cow
Take out: The Trial of the Chicago 7
Josh
Will win: Mank
Should win: Sound of Metal
Should have been nominated: First Cow
Take out: The Trial of the Chicago 7
Michael
Will win: Nomadland
Should win: Judas and the Black Messiah
Egregious omission: First Cow
Take out: Promising Young Woman
Best Director
Adam
Will win: Chloe Zhao, Nomadland
Should win: David Fincher, Mank
Egregious omission: Kelly Reichardt, First Cow
Take out: Lee Isaac Chung, Minari
Michael
Will win: Chloe Zhao, Nomadland
Should win: Chloe Zhao, Nomadland
Egregious omission: Kitty Green, The Assistant
Take out: Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman
Josh
Will win: Chloe Zhao, Nomadland
Should win: Chloe Zhao, Nomadland
Egregious omission: Kelly Reichardt, First Cow
Take out: David Fincher, Mank
Best Actress
Adam
Will win: Viola Davis, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Should win: Viola Davis, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Egregious omission: Carrie Coon, The Nest
Take out: n/a
Josh
Will win: Viola Davis, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Should win: Viola Davis, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Egregious omission: Carrie Coon, The Nest
Take out: Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman
Michael
Will win: Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman
Should win: Viola Davis, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Egregious omission: Julia Garner, The Assistant
Take out: Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman
Best Actor
Adam
Will win: Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Should win: Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Egregious omission: Kingsley Ben-Adir, One Night in Miami
Take out: Gary Oldman, Mank
Josh
Will win: Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Should win: Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Egregious omission: Shaun Parkes, Mangrove
Take out: Gary Oldman, Mank
Michael
Will win: Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal
Should win: Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Egregious omission: Lakeith Stanfield, Judas and the Black Messiah
Take out: Gary Oldman, Mank
Best Supporting Actress
Adam
Will win: Youn Yuh-jung, Minari
Should win: Amanda Seyfried, Mank
Egregious omission: Margo Martindale, Blow the Man Down
Take out: n/a
Josh
Will win: Glenn Close, Hillbilly Elegy
Should win: Amanda Seyfried, Mank
Egregious omission: Yeri Han, Minari
Take out: Olivia Colman, The Father
Michael
Will Win: Youn Yuh-jung, Minari
Should Win: Young Yuh-jung, Minari
Egregious omission: Talia Rider, Never Rarely Sometimes Always
Take out:
Best Supporting Actor
Josh
Will win: Sacha Baron Cohen, Trial of the Chicago 7
Should win: Lakeith Stanfield, Judas and the Black Messiah
Egregious omission: Orion Lee, First Cow
Take out: Sacha Baron Cohen, Trial of the Chicago 7
Adam
Will win: Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah
Should win: Paul Raci, Sound of Metal
Egregious omission: Malachi Kirby, Mangrove
Take out: Sacha Baron Cohen, Trial of the Chicago 7
Michael:
Will win: Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah
Should Win: Paul Raci, Sound of Metal
Egregious omission: Delroy Lindo, Da 5 Bloods
Take out: Sacha Baron Cohen, Trial of the Chicago 7
#762: 2020 Oscar Picks with Michael Phillips
Best Picture
Adam
Will win: 1917
Should win: PARASITE
Stupid omission: PORTRAIT OF A LADY ON FIRE
Michael
Will win: 1917
Should win: PARASITE
Stupid omission: THE FAREWELL
Josh
Will win: PARASITE
Should win: PARASITE
Stupid omission: US
Best Director
Adam
Will win: Bong Joon Ho, PARASITE
Should win: Bong Joon Ho, PARASITE
Stupid omission: Greta Gerwig, LITTLE WOMEN
Josh
Will win: Sam Mendes, 1917
Should win: Bong Joon Ho, PARASITE
Stupid omission: Jordan Peele, US
Michael
Will win: Sam Mendes, 1917
Should win: Bong Joon Ho, PARASITE
Stupid omission: Noah Baumbach, MARRIAGE STORY
Best Actress
Adam / Josh
Will win: Renée Zellweger, JUDY
Should win: Scarlett Johansson, MARRIAGE STORY
Stupid omission: Lupita Nyong’o, US
Michael
Will win: Renée Zellweger, JUDY
Should win: Saoirse Ronan, LITTLE WOMEN
Stupid omission: Lupita Nyong’o, US
Best Actor
AdaM / JOsh / Michael
Will win: Joaquin Phoenix, JOKER
Should win: Adam Driver, MARRIAGE STORY
Stupid omission: Adam Sandler, UNCUT GEMS
Best Supporting Actress
Adam
Will win: Laura Dern, MARRIAGE STORY
Should win: Florence Pugh, LITTLE WOMEN
Stupid omission: Zhao Shuzhen, THE FAREWELL
Michael
Will win: Laura Dern, MARRIAGE STORY
Should win: Laura Dern, MARRIAGE STORY
Stupid omission: Zhao Shuzhen, THE FAREWELL
Josh
Will win: Florence Pugh, LITTLE WOMEN
Should win: Florence Pugh, LITTLE WOMEN
Stupid omission: Juliette Binoche, HIGH LIFE
Best Supporting Actor
Josh / Michael
Will win: Brad Pitt, ONCE UPON A TIME… IN HOLLYWOOD
Should win: Joe Pesci, THE IRISHMAN
Stupid omission: Song Kang-ho, PARASITE
Adam
Will win: Brad Pitt, ONCE UPON A TIME... IN HOLLYWOOD
Should win: Brad Pitt, ONCE UPON A TIME... IN HOLLYWOOD
Stupid omission: Song Kang-ho, PARASITE
Best Original Screenplay
Josh / Michael
Will win: Quentin Tarantino, ONCE UPON A TIME… IN HOLLYWOOD
Should win: Bong Joon Ho & Han Jin Won, PARASITE
Stupid omission: Jordan Peele, US
Adam
Will win: Quentin Tarantino, ONCE UPON A TIME... IN HOLLYWOOD
Should win: Bong Joon Ho & Han Jin Won, PARASITE
Stupid omission: Lulu Wang, THE FAREWELL
Best Adapted Screenplay
Adam
Will win: Greta Gerwig, LITTLE WOMEN
Should win: Greta Gerwig, LITTLE WOMEN
Stupid omission: Joel Edgerton & David Michôd, THE KING
Michael
Will win: Greta Gerwig, LITTLE WOMEN
Should win: Greta Gerwig, LITTLE WOMEN
Josh
Will win: Greta Gerwig, LITTLE WOMEN
Should win: Greta Gerwig, LITTLE WOMEN
Stupid omission: Christian Petzold, TRANSIT
#294: 2010 Oscar Picks
Best Picture
Adam
Will win: THE HURT LOCKER
Should win: INGLOURIOUS BASTERDS
matty
Will win: THE HURT LOCKER
Should win: INGLORIOUS BASTERDS
Best Director
Adam
Will win: Kathryn Bigelow, THE HURT LOCKER
Should win: Quentin Tarantino, INGLOURIOUS BASTERDS
matty
Will win: Kathryn Bigelow, THE HURT LOCKER
Should win: Kathryn Bigelow, THE HURT LOCKER
Best Actress
Adam
Will win: Sandra Bullock, THE BLIND SIDE
Should win: Carey Mulligan, AN EDUCATION
MATTY
Will win: Sandra Bullock, THE BLIND SIDE
Should win: Carey Mulligan, AN EDUCATION
Best Actor
Adam
Will win: Jeff Bridges, CRAZY HEART
Should win: Jeff Bridges, CRAZY HEART
matty
Will win: Jeff Bridges, CRAZY HEART
Should win: Colin Firth, A SINGLE MAN
Best Supporting Actress
Adam
Will win: Mo’Nique, PRECIOUS
Should win: Anna Kendrick, UP IN THE AIR
matty
Will win: Mo’Nique, PRECIOUS
Should win: Anna Kendrick, UP IN THE AIR
Best Supporting Actor
Josh
Will win: Christoph Waltz, INGLOURIOUS BASTERDS
Should win: Christoph Waltz, INGLOURIOUS BASTERDS
Adam
Will win: Christoph Waltz, INGLOURIOUS BASTERDS
Should win: Christoph Waltz, INGLOURIOUS BASTERDS
best adapted screenplay
MATTY
Will win: UP IN THE AIR
Should win: AN EDUCATION
Adam
Will win: UP IN THE AIR
Should win: AN EDUCATION
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
MATTY
Will win: INGLOURIOUS BASTERDS
Should win: A SERIOUS MAN
ADAM
Will win: INGLOURIOUS BASTERDS
Should win: INGLOURIOUS BASTERDS